Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Rossi 45.3% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 52.1%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 60.6%
Neutral zone
Rossi 51.8%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Kerfoot
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Kerfoot
Rossi
Last 10: Kerfoot 5-5 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
4
Kerfoot
Rossi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
4
0
Kerfoot
Rossi
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kerfoot
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
44.5% (701)
+5.9%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
56.1% (41)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
0.0% (7)
+39.2%
On penalty kill, Kerfoot has a +39.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. Rossi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Rossi
Home
51.4% (467)
46.8% (385)
Away
43.5% (395)
42.6% (364)
By Period
Kerfoot
Rossi
P1
49.1%
42.8%
P2
42.4%
43.9%
P3
52.7%
47.4%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
37.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.8%
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:29 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |