Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Rossi 47.1% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 51.6%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 81.9%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 71.4%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Kerfoot
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kerfoot
Rossi
Last 6: Kerfoot 4-2 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Rossi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Kerfoot
Rossi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
1
Kerfoot
Rossi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
46.5% (879)
+6.6%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
48.6% (105)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
50.0% (8)
-1.8%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Kerfoot is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Kerfoot shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Rossi
Home
57.4% (235)
47.5% (520)
Away
47.9% (259)
46.0% (472)
By Period
Kerfoot
Rossi
P1
53.2%
47.8%
P2
53.3%
44.2%
P3
50.9%
48.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
52.4%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:42 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |