Alexander Kerfoot vs Matt Duchene
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kerfoot wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 43.4% vs Duchene 52.8% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 63.0%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 63.9%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 62.8%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Kerfoot
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kerfoot
Duchene
Last 7: Kerfoot 2-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
3
Kerfoot
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Kerfoot
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Kerfoot
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (471)
52.6% (1,112)
-10.6%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
56.0% (193)
-13.1%
On power play, Duchene has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kerfoot is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Kerfoot shoots left. Duchene is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Duchene
Home
43.2% (250)
55.7% (652)
Away
40.9% (242)
50.4% (702)
By Period
Kerfoot
Duchene
P1
39.2%
51.4%
P2
43.9%
53.9%
P3
43.1%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
44.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
42.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 18:29 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |