Alexander Kerfoot vs Matt Duchene
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 49.5% vs Duchene 51.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 81.7%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 58.7%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 58.2%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Kerfoot
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Kerfoot
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (97)
51.2% (324)
+1.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
60.4% (53)
+39.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
16.7% (6)
+8.3%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kerfoot is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Kerfoot shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Duchene
Home
39.2% (51)
51.6% (182)
Away
57.1% (63)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Kerfoot
Duchene
P1
51.1%
49.6%
P2
51.6%
56.2%
P3
44.4%
48.6%
Final 5 min
55.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
49.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 04:31 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |