Alexander Kerfoot vs Matt Duchene
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Duchene 55.6% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 51.6%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 61.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 55.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Kerfoot
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kerfoot
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Kerfoot
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
56.5% (566)
-6.1%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
61.3% (62)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
22.2% (9)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Kerfoot has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Duchene
Home
51.4% (467)
56.6% (318)
Away
43.5% (395)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Kerfoot
Duchene
P1
49.1%
57.2%
P2
42.4%
55.1%
P3
52.7%
55.6%
OT
25.0%
81.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |