Alexander Kerfoot vs Mikael Backlund
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Kerfoot wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 43.1% vs Backlund 51.7% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 58.1%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 67.3%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 59.0%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Kerfoot
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Kerfoot
Backlund
Last 10: Kerfoot 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kerfoot
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
7
Kerfoot
Backlund
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (252)
53.2% (602)
-11.9%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
56.1% (66)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
36.6% (41)
39.0% (77)
-2.4%
On even strength, Backlund has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kerfoot is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Kerfoot shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Backlund
Home
40.3% (139)
51.5% (400)
Away
41.2% (165)
52.5% (345)
By Period
Kerfoot
Backlund
P1
36.8%
50.0%
P2
42.1%
56.4%
P3
44.6%
48.9%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
40.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 01:16 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 14:16 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 13:08 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 12:53 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |