Alexander Kerfoot vs Mikael Backlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Backlund 48.5% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 52.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 74.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 59.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Kerfoot
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kerfoot
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Kerfoot
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Kerfoot
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
50.4% (1,032)
+2.7%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
52.3% (107)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
40.6% (313)
+7.6%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kerfoot is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Kerfoot shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Backlund
Home
57.4% (235)
48.7% (749)
Away
47.9% (259)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Kerfoot
Backlund
P1
53.2%
50.4%
P2
53.3%
50.1%
P3
50.9%
45.8%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
52.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |