Alexander Kerfoot vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 49.5% vs Backlund 49.7% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 60.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 72.1%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 53.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Kerfoot
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (97)
50.1% (891)
+2.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.1% (64)
+46.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
47.8% (278)
-22.8%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kerfoot is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Kerfoot shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Backlund
Home
39.2% (51)
48.1% (580)
Away
57.1% (63)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Kerfoot
Backlund
P1
51.1%
45.1%
P2
51.6%
54.7%
P3
44.4%
49.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
49.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%