Alexander Kerfoot vs Nick Foligno
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 49.5% vs Foligno 49.8% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 57.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 58.3%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 51.4%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Kerfoot
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kerfoot
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (97)
49.0% (261)
+3.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.1% (42)
+42.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
47.1% (51)
-22.1%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Kerfoot is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Kerfoot shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Foligno
Home
39.2% (51)
48.9% (178)
Away
57.1% (63)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Kerfoot
Foligno
P1
51.1%
40.4%
P2
51.6%
55.8%
P3
44.4%
51.2%
Final 5 min
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
49.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |