Alexander Kerfoot vs Nick Foligno
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Foligno 52.0% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 66.9%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 74.6%
Neutral zone
Foligno 50.8%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Kerfoot
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kerfoot
Foligno
Last 6: Kerfoot 3-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Kerfoot
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
3
1
Kerfoot
Foligno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Kerfoot
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
53.4% (249)
-3.0%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
53.2% (154)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
40.6% (32)
-1.4%
On power play, Foligno has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Foligno
Home
51.4% (467)
57.3% (225)
Away
43.5% (395)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Kerfoot
Foligno
P1
49.1%
53.0%
P2
42.4%
51.8%
P3
52.7%
52.6%
Final 5 min
54.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |