Alexander Kerfoot vs Nick Foligno
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 34.1% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 46.9% vs Foligno 52.3% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 57.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 56.5%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 55.7%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Kerfoot
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kerfoot
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kerfoot
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (100)
52.0% (50)
-7.0%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
66.7% (21)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
0.0% (1)
+35.0%
On penalty kill, Kerfoot has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Kerfoot is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Kerfoot shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Foligno
Home
47.6% (84)
51.2% (41)
Away
41.0% (61)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Kerfoot
Foligno
P1
50.9%
55.6%
P2
38.2%
48.0%
P3
44.1%
65.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
44.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |