Alexander Kerfoot vs Nick Foligno
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kerfoot wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 43.4% vs Foligno 46.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 52.2%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 67.3%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 60.8%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Kerfoot
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kerfoot
Foligno
Last 6: Kerfoot 2-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Kerfoot
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
3
Kerfoot
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (471)
46.3% (566)
-4.3%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
43.4% (106)
-0.5%
On even strength, Foligno has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Kerfoot is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Kerfoot shoots left. Foligno is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Foligno
Home
43.2% (250)
48.9% (364)
Away
40.9% (242)
43.0% (377)
By Period
Kerfoot
Foligno
P1
39.2%
48.7%
P2
43.9%
46.9%
P3
43.1%
44.0%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
42.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 01:19 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |