Alexander Kerfoot vs Nick Foligno
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kerfoot wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.5% vs Foligno 49.9% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 76.5%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 51.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 64.2%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Kerfoot
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kerfoot
Foligno
Last 5: Kerfoot 4-1 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
4
1
Kerfoot
Foligno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (372)
47.0% (202)
+0.3%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
57.9% (95)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
40.9% (22)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Kerfoot is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Kerfoot shoots left. Foligno is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Foligno
Home
53.2% (216)
50.6% (162)
Away
39.8% (191)
49.0% (157)
By Period
Kerfoot
Foligno
P1
43.2%
48.9%
P2
46.6%
47.8%
P3
51.0%
53.8%
OT
20.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
45.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
46.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2019 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 3 | 05:47 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 02:16 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |