Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Greig 45.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 63.2%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 57.2%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 57.3%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Kerfoot
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kerfoot
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
45.2% (414)
+5.2%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
28.6% (14)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
28.6% (21)
+10.6%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. Greig is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Greig
Home
51.4% (467)
46.4% (196)
Away
43.5% (395)
41.9% (253)
By Period
Kerfoot
Greig
P1
49.1%
40.8%
P2
42.4%
46.4%
P3
52.7%
43.9%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |