Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 49.5% vs Greig 50.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 50.9%
Defensive zone
Greig 62.1%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 62.7%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Kerfoot
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kerfoot
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Kerfoot
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kerfoot
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (97)
51.5% (336)
+1.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
66.7% (24)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
43.2% (81)
-18.2%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Kerfoot is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Kerfoot shoots left. Greig is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Greig
Home
39.2% (51)
50.2% (247)
Away
57.1% (63)
51.5% (194)
By Period
Kerfoot
Greig
P1
51.1%
46.9%
P2
51.6%
58.8%
P3
44.4%
48.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
49.1%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 02:31 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |