Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 45.3% vs Strome 45.0% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 51.6%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 52.0%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 52.7%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Kerfoot
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kerfoot
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (131)
44.1% (749)
+0.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
46.2% (52)
+53.8%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
52.9% (17)
-18.1%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Kerfoot is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Kerfoot shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Strome
Home
49.5% (107)
45.1% (441)
Away
32.4% (71)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Kerfoot
Strome
P1
38.2%
42.9%
P2
47.4%
44.4%
P3
40.4%
45.8%
Final 5 min
33.3%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
42.7%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |