Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Strome 42.3% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 56.8%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 65.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.1%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Kerfoot
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Kerfoot
Strome
Last 10: Kerfoot 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Kerfoot
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
3
0
Kerfoot
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Kerfoot
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
41.2% (1,040)
+11.9%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
43.0% (151)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
51.4% (35)
-3.2%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Kerfoot is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Kerfoot shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Strome
Home
57.4% (235)
40.1% (581)
Away
47.9% (259)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Kerfoot
Strome
P1
53.2%
41.4%
P2
53.3%
42.9%
P3
50.9%
40.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
52.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 10:26 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 07:41 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |