Scouting Report
Alexander True holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
True 48.8% vs Bailey 44.3% (+5.3%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 67.5%
Defensive zone
True 53.8%
Neutral zone
Bailey 53.7%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
True
Bailey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
True
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (26)
39.8% (83)
+6.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
27.3% (22)
-27.3%
On power play, Bailey has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. True is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (15).
True shoots left. Bailey is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
True
Bailey
Home
40.0% (20)
33.3% (48)
Away
57.1% (7)
43.5% (62)
By Period
True
Bailey
P1
43.8%
33.3%
P2
50.0%
47.2%
P3
42.9%
39.4%
Final 5 min
60.0%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
True
42.0%▬
43.1%
44.4%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%