Alexander Wennberg vs Auston Matthews
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 47.7% vs Matthews 56.3% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 74.8%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 76.7%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 75.1%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Wennberg
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Wennberg
Matthews
Last 7: Wennberg 2-5 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
3
Wennberg
Matthews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
2
Wennberg
Matthews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Matthews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (777)
58.3% (943)
-10.4%
Power Play
51.0% (202)
55.7% (61)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (90)
50.7% (219)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Wennberg is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (786).
Wennberg shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Matthews
Home
47.2% (489)
59.1% (528)
Away
47.8% (580)
55.1% (695)
By Period
Wennberg
Matthews
P1
47.1%
56.2%
P2
48.1%
58.1%
P3
47.5%
56.4%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
47.5%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 3, 2025 | OT | 03:57 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |