Alexander Wennberg vs Auston Matthews
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Matthews 58.8% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 58.2%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 58.5%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 55.0%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Wennberg
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Wennberg
Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
1
Wennberg
Matthews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (778)
59.8% (848)
-14.0%
Power Play
52.7% (239)
64.9% (37)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (169)
56.3% (87)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Wennberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Wennberg shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Matthews
Home
47.3% (607)
60.0% (520)
Away
44.6% (579)
59.3% (452)
By Period
Wennberg
Matthews
P1
44.5%
60.2%
P2
46.2%
58.2%
P3
47.4%
60.4%
OT
36.4%
70.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.0%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |