Alexander Wennberg vs Brock Nelson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Wennberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Nelson 50.6% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Wennberg 59.6%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 61.6%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 58.1%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Wennberg
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Wennberg
Nelson
Last 10: Wennberg 3-7 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
4
Wennberg
Nelson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
3
2
Wennberg
Nelson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
3
Wennberg
Nelson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (778)
50.7% (879)
-4.9%
Power Play
52.7% (239)
58.6% (162)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (169)
43.4% (198)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Wennberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Wennberg shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Nelson
Home
47.3% (607)
52.3% (621)
Away
44.6% (579)
48.9% (618)
By Period
Wennberg
Nelson
P1
44.5%
48.4%
P2
46.2%
53.5%
P3
47.4%
50.3%
OT
36.4%
41.2%
Final 5 min
45.4%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.0%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |