Alexander Wennberg vs Brock Nelson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 42 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Nelson 48.3% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Wennberg leads 58-50 in 108 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 61.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 60.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 60.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Wennberg
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
58
-
50
(108 meetings)
58
50
Wennberg
Nelson
Last 10: Wennberg 3-7 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
15
13
Wennberg
Nelson
28 total
Defensive Zone
Even
19
19
Wennberg
Nelson
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
24
18
Wennberg
Nelson
42 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (9,278)
47.9% (9,695)
-1.2%
Power Play
49.4% (1,419)
54.5% (1,132)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (1,132)
43.8% (783)
-4.9%
On power play, Nelson has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Wennberg is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,843).
Wennberg shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Nelson
Home
47.6% (5,983)
50.0% (5,845)
Away
44.9% (5,846)
46.5% (5,766)
By Period
Wennberg
Nelson
P1
46.1%
48.7%
P2
46.2%
48.5%
P3
46.6%
47.7%
OT
45.0%
45.6%
Final 5 min
45.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.3%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |