Alexander Wennberg vs Brock Nelson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 45.9% vs Nelson 47.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 77.8%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 51.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 63.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Wennberg
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Wennberg
Nelson
Last 9: Wennberg 6-3 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Nelson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Nelson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
4
2
Wennberg
Nelson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (974)
46.9% (915)
+0.5%
Power Play
40.3% (154)
57.4% (94)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (247)
25.0% (28)
+16.7%
On power play, Nelson has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Wennberg is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Wennberg shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Nelson
Home
46.1% (661)
48.9% (521)
Away
45.1% (714)
45.5% (516)
By Period
Wennberg
Nelson
P1
48.5%
45.9%
P2
42.6%
48.0%
P3
46.3%
48.0%
OT
38.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
45.6%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |