Alexander Wennberg vs Brock Nelson
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Wennberg wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 44.0% vs Nelson 48.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Wennberg leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 70.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 82.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 74.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 77.2%
22.8%
77.2%
Wennberg
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Wennberg
Nelson
Last 10: Wennberg 7-3 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
1
Wennberg
Nelson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Wennberg
Nelson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
5
0
Wennberg
Nelson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (788)
49.6% (347)
-6.8%
Power Play
47.0% (100)
20.8% (24)
+26.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
52.9% (17)
-5.8%
On power play, Wennberg has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Wennberg is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Wennberg shoots left. Nelson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Nelson
Home
47.6% (483)
52.9% (210)
Away
38.7% (439)
42.1% (178)
By Period
Wennberg
Nelson
P1
41.5%
43.9%
P2
46.3%
48.1%
P3
42.2%
53.1%
OT
45.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
43.4%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 01:04 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 09:52 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |