Alexander Wennberg vs Dylan Larkin
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Wennberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Larkin 52.4% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Wennberg 77.6%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 76.6%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 82.4%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Wennberg
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Wennberg
Larkin
Last 10: Wennberg 3-7 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
3
Wennberg
Larkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
5
Wennberg
Larkin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
4
Wennberg
Larkin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (778)
51.7% (878)
-5.9%
Power Play
52.7% (239)
58.5% (246)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (169)
48.2% (166)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Wennberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Wennberg shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Larkin
Home
47.3% (607)
52.4% (647)
Away
44.6% (579)
52.7% (643)
By Period
Wennberg
Larkin
P1
44.5%
52.2%
P2
46.2%
53.1%
P3
47.4%
51.7%
OT
36.4%
61.3%
Final 5 min
45.4%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.0%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 2, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |