Alexander Wennberg vs Dylan Larkin
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.7% vs Larkin 55.0% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 75.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 52.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 72.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Wennberg
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Wennberg
Larkin
Last 7: Wennberg 4-3 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
0
Wennberg
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
2
Wennberg
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (879)
55.9% (943)
-8.0%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
57.4% (244)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (185)
46.2% (106)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Wennberg is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (816).
Wennberg shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Larkin
Home
48.6% (629)
56.0% (654)
Away
44.0% (559)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Wennberg
Larkin
P1
48.3%
54.4%
P2
48.7%
55.9%
P3
42.6%
55.2%
OT
38.9%
64.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:06 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 15:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:30 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |