Alexander Wennberg vs Dylan Larkin
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 47.7% vs Larkin 54.2% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 67.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 65.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 60.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Wennberg
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Wennberg
Larkin
Last 5: Wennberg 3-2 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
3
1
Wennberg
Larkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Wennberg
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (777)
52.6% (1,117)
-4.7%
Power Play
51.0% (202)
60.7% (305)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (90)
55.9% (177)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Wennberg is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (786).
Wennberg shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Larkin
Home
47.2% (489)
54.7% (783)
Away
47.8% (580)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Wennberg
Larkin
P1
47.1%
55.9%
P2
48.1%
56.1%
P3
47.5%
51.1%
OT
45.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
47.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 18, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |