Alexander Wennberg vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Wennberg 47.7% vs Kotkaniemi 51.5% (-4.3%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Wennberg 55.2%
Defensive zone Wennberg 61.6%
Neutral zone Wennberg 59.8%
Result Alexander Wennberg favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Wennberg Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 5 (8 meetings)
3
5
Wennberg Kotkaniemi
Last 8: Wennberg 3-5 Kotkaniemi

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
4
Wennberg Kotkaniemi
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Wennberg
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (777)
52.8% (670)
-4.9%
Power Play
51.0% (202)
37.5% (32)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (90)
14.3% (7)
+22.4%
On penalty kill, Wennberg has a +22.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Wennberg is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (786).
Wennberg shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Kotkaniemi
Home
47.2% (489)
52.5% (366)
Away
47.8% (580)
51.0% (343)
By Period
Wennberg
Kotkaniemi
P1
47.1%
53.8%
P2
48.1%
49.2%
P3
47.5%
52.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
51.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%
51.5%
47.5%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%
49.0%
51.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 20, 2025 2 02:16 Neutral Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Dec 10, 2024 3 12:15 Neutral Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Dec 10, 2024 2 18:07 Offensive Alexander Wennberg
Dec 10, 2024 2 00:00 Neutral Alexander Wennberg
Dec 10, 2024 1 11:09 Defensive Alexander Wennberg
Dec 10, 2024 1 00:16 Offensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Dec 10, 2024 1 00:04 Neutral Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Dec 10, 2024 1 00:00 Neutral Jesperi Kotkaniemi