Alexander Wennberg vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 22-20 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 61.8%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 65.8%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 51.6%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Wennberg
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
22
(42 meetings)
20
22
Wennberg
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Wennberg 4-6 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
7
9
Wennberg
Kotkaniemi
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
6
1
Wennberg
Kotkaniemi
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
7
12
Wennberg
Kotkaniemi
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (9,118)
49.1% (3,840)
-2.5%
Power Play
49.2% (1,371)
51.1% (350)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
38.4% (1,080)
45.7% (35)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Wennberg is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,686).
Wennberg shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,774).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Kotkaniemi
Home
47.5% (5,829)
49.7% (2,194)
Away
44.8% (5,740)
48.6% (2,031)
By Period
Wennberg
Kotkaniemi
P1
46.0%
49.8%
P2
46.0%
50.5%
P3
46.6%
47.2%
OT
44.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
32.0%▼
41.5%
46.2%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 13:18 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:16 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:04 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |