Alexander Wennberg vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 40 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 62-49 in 111 meetings
Offensive zone
Wennberg 82.5%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 85.4%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 82.5%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Wennberg
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
62
(111 meetings)
49
62
Wennberg
O'Reilly
Last 10: Wennberg 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
22
23
Wennberg
O'Reilly
45 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
16
24
Wennberg
O'Reilly
40 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
11
15
Wennberg
O'Reilly
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (9,278)
56.2% (15,260)
-9.5%
Power Play
49.4% (1,419)
58.8% (3,445)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (1,132)
51.4% (2,811)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Wennberg is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,843).
Wennberg shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Wennberg
O'Reilly
Home
47.6% (5,983)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
44.9% (5,846)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Wennberg
O'Reilly
P1
46.1%
55.6%
P2
46.2%
57.0%
P3
46.6%
55.1%
OT
45.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
45.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:27 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |