Alexander Wennberg vs Ryan O'Reilly
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.7% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 52.6%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 83.5%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 62.8%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Wennberg
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Wennberg
O'Reilly
Last 9: Wennberg 3-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Wennberg
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
1
Wennberg
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Wennberg
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (879)
55.0% (1,084)
-7.1%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
56.8% (303)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (185)
40.3% (149)
-5.7%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Wennberg is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (816).
Wennberg shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Wennberg
O'Reilly
Home
48.6% (629)
54.8% (759)
Away
44.0% (559)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Wennberg
O'Reilly
P1
48.3%
55.3%
P2
48.7%
51.9%
P3
42.6%
54.2%
OT
38.9%
64.7%
Final 5 min
45.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:27 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |