Alexander Wennberg vs Ryan O'Reilly
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 47.7% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 69.6%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 73.2%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 69.7%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Wennberg
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Wennberg
O'Reilly
Last 7: Wennberg 2-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Wennberg
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Wennberg
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Wennberg
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (777)
56.2% (983)
-8.3%
Power Play
51.0% (202)
55.5% (254)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (90)
52.0% (102)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Wennberg is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (786).
Wennberg shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Wennberg
O'Reilly
Home
47.2% (489)
56.2% (697)
Away
47.8% (580)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Wennberg
O'Reilly
P1
47.1%
54.5%
P2
48.1%
55.5%
P3
47.5%
57.1%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
47.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |