Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 23.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zary shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 40.4% vs Zary 46.9% (-18.2%)
Offensive zone
Lafrenière 58.3%
Defensive zone
Zary 63.1%
Neutral zone
Zary 50.7%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Lafrenière
Zary
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Zary
Edge
Even Strength
24.6% (65)
45.3% (106)
-20.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (3)
+100.0%
On power play, Lafrenière has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zary shoots left. Lafrenière is 23.9% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Lafrenière shoots left. Zary is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Zary
Home
25.0% (24)
41.9% (62)
Away
26.2% (42)
46.8% (47)
By Period
Lafrenière
Zary
P1
16.1%
42.9%
P2
30.4%
42.5%
P3
41.7%
47.1%
Final 5 min
25.0%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
22.0%▼
29.0%
25.8%
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
44.0%