Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 32.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zary shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 45.3% vs Zary 41.1% (-4.0%)
Offensive zone
Zary 56.6%
Defensive zone
Zary 60.5%
Neutral zone
Zary 57.7%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Lafrenière
Zary
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Zary
Edge
Even Strength
31.4% (35)
36.6% (205)
-5.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
41.7% (36)
+8.3%
On power play, Lafrenière has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zary shoots left. Lafrenière is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Lafrenière shoots left. Zary is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Zary
Home
44.4% (18)
38.8% (152)
Away
23.8% (21)
34.8% (89)
By Period
Lafrenière
Zary
P1
26.7%
33.3%
P2
35.3%
31.7%
P3
42.9%
47.5%
Final 5 min
25.0%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
22.0%▼
29.0%
33.3%
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
37.3%