Alexis Lafrenière vs Trevor Zegras
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 34.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 36.4% vs Zegras 39.2% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafrenière 53.1%
Defensive zone
Zegras 79.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 53.0%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 79.2%
20.8%
79.2%
Lafrenière
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lafrenière
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafrenière
1
0
Lafrenière
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
31.8% (264)
38.6% (1,669)
-6.8%
Power Play
32.1% (28)
38.5% (148)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
28.6% (7)
-28.6%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lafrenière is 34.0% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Lafrenière shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Zegras
Home
32.3% (130)
39.9% (882)
Away
31.3% (163)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Lafrenière
Zegras
P1
27.9%
40.2%
P2
34.3%
38.0%
P3
33.3%
37.7%
Final 5 min
29.8%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
22.0%▼
29.0%
31.7%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:36 | Defensive | Alexis Lafrenière |