Alexis Lafrenière vs Trevor Zegras
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 32.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 45.3% vs Zegras 41.3% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafrenière 66.9%
Defensive zone
Zegras 51.7%
Neutral zone
Lafrenière 55.0%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Lafrenière
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lafrenière
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafrenière
1
0
Lafrenière
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
31.4% (35)
36.5% (156)
-5.1%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
40.7% (27)
+9.3%
On power play, Lafrenière has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lafrenière is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Lafrenière shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Zegras
Home
44.4% (18)
38.9% (113)
Away
23.8% (21)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Lafrenière
Zegras
P1
26.7%
40.0%
P2
35.3%
38.1%
P3
42.9%
31.6%
Final 5 min
25.0%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
22.0%▼
29.0%
33.3%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:36 | Defensive | Alexis Lafrenière |