Alexis Lafrenière vs Trevor Zegras
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 29.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 43.6% vs Zegras 35.4% (-6.1%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 70.7%
Defensive zone
Lafrenière 59.5%
Neutral zone
Zegras 53.5%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Lafrenière
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
25.0% (32)
29.6% (230)
-4.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
32.1% (56)
-32.1%
On power play, Zegras has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lafrenière is 29.6% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Lafrenière shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Zegras
Home
6.7% (15)
30.6% (147)
Away
38.9% (18)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Lafrenière
Zegras
P1
30.0%
33.0%
P2
0.0%
31.7%
P3
28.6%
25.6%
Final 5 min
0.0%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
22.0%▼
29.0%
24.2%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%