Aliaksei Protas vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Protas 47.9% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (-8.3%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 75.3%
Defensive zone
Protas 62.5%
Neutral zone
Protas 50.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Protas
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Protas
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (20)
50.0% (992)
+5.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
64.9% (148)
-64.9%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
34.4% (32)
+0.4%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +64.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Protas is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (15).
Protas shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Protas
MacKinnon
Home
52.6% (19)
53.3% (591)
Away
36.0% (25)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Protas
MacKinnon
P1
33.3%
49.9%
P2
50.0%
53.2%
P3
35.7%
50.8%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
37.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Protas
38.0%▬
37.5%
43.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%