Aliaksei Protas vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Protas wins 38.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Protas 42.0% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Protas 57.3%
Defensive zone
Protas 65.6%
Neutral zone
Protas 62.2%
Result
Aliaksei Protas favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Protas
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Protas
MacKinnon
Last 6: Protas 2-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Protas
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
3
Protas
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Protas
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (288)
46.1% (11,218)
-3.0%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
53.3% (1,412)
-28.3%
Penalty Kill
27.4% (62)
42.8% (502)
-15.4%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Protas is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Protas shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Protas
MacKinnon
Home
42.7% (143)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
37.9% (219)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Protas
MacKinnon
P1
40.4%
47.4%
P2
36.9%
46.6%
P3
42.3%
46.1%
OT
66.7%
48.4%
Final 5 min
35.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Protas
38.0%▬
37.5%
39.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Aliaksei Protas |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Aliaksei Protas |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |