Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 49.2%). Lee wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 49.0% vs Hayes 49.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lee 72.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 77.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Lee
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lee
Hayes
Last 5: Lee 2-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lee
Hayes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Lee
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (75)
50.5% (764)
-1.2%
Power Play
47.5% (80)
53.3% (90)
-5.8%
On power play, Hayes has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lee is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Lee shoots left. Hayes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Lee
Hayes
Home
53.1% (81)
49.0% (531)
Away
43.2% (74)
49.6% (450)
By Period
Lee
Hayes
P1
48.1%
52.3%
P2
44.2%
45.8%
P3
52.1%
50.2%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
48.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Anders Lee |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Anders Lee |