Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 47.7%). Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lee wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 48.3% vs Hayes 47.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lee 80.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 88.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Lee
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Lee
Hayes
Last 9: Lee 4-5 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lee
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lee
Hayes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
2
Lee
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (638)
47.5% (6,708)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.8% (256)
51.7% (702)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
45.3% (697)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Lee has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lee is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Lee shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Lee
Hayes
Home
50.5% (430)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
46.0% (472)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Lee
Hayes
P1
46.1%
47.5%
P2
48.6%
47.6%
P3
49.6%
47.9%
OT
55.6%
54.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
48.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 12:32 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Anders Lee |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Anders Lee |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Anders Lee |