Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Lee wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 47.9% vs Hayes 56.3% (-13.8%)
Offensive zone
Lee 70.7%
Defensive zone
Hayes 74.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Lee
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (39)
56.6% (724)
-15.6%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
57.0% (79)
+3.0%
On even strength, Hayes has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lee is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Lee shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Lee
Hayes
Home
51.7% (29)
58.0% (405)
Away
26.7% (15)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Lee
Hayes
P1
35.3%
54.7%
P2
55.6%
55.7%
P3
33.3%
60.2%
Final 5 min
66.7%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
56.0%▲
51.5%
43.2%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%