Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Lee wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 49.1% vs Dowd 53.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lee 92.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.1%
Neutral zone
Lee 50.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 87.1%
12.9%
87.1%
Lee
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lee
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Lee
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (101)
55.4% (771)
-9.9%
Power Play
57.6% (33)
57.1% (7)
+0.5%
On even strength, Dowd has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lee is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Lee shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Lee
Dowd
Home
49.2% (59)
58.2% (462)
Away
48.0% (75)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Lee
Dowd
P1
40.0%
55.6%
P2
56.9%
50.5%
P3
50.0%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
48.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |