Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Lee wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 48.3% vs Dowd 50.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Lee leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Lee 77.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 70.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 61.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Lee
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Lee
Dowd
Last 10: Lee 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lee
5
0
Lee
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
6
Lee
Dowd
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lee
2
0
Lee
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (638)
52.4% (6,009)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.8% (256)
56.1% (164)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
44.1% (1,635)
+18.4%
On penalty kill, Lee has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lee is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Lee shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Lee
Dowd
Home
50.5% (430)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
46.0% (472)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Lee
Dowd
P1
46.1%
51.7%
P2
48.6%
50.4%
P3
49.6%
50.3%
OT
55.6%
45.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
48.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Anders Lee |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anders Lee |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Anders Lee |