Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 47.9% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-14.4%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 57.5%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 63.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 53.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Cogliano
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (16)
52.5% (570)
-15.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
54.5% (145)
+45.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
44.4% (36)
-19.4%
On power play, Cogliano has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Cogliano is 23.1% vs right-shot opponents (13).
Cogliano shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Pavelski
Home
50.0% (10)
55.0% (391)
Away
27.3% (11)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Cogliano
Pavelski
P1
50.0%
50.8%
P2
36.4%
55.0%
P3
0.0%
52.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
38.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%