Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Cogliano wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 42.3% vs Staal 47.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 84.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 61.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 74.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Cogliano
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cogliano
Staal
Last 5: Cogliano 4-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
1
0
Cogliano
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cogliano
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cogliano
2
0
Cogliano
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (810)
47.6% (552)
-6.0%
Power Play
43.9% (66)
49.1% (110)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (215)
37.8% (111)
+3.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cogliano is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Cogliano shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Staal
Home
43.7% (572)
49.8% (400)
Away
39.4% (536)
44.1% (401)
By Period
Cogliano
Staal
P1
39.2%
53.7%
P2
37.4%
43.9%
P3
48.2%
43.5%
OT
38.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
41.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |