Andrew Cogliano vs Jordan Staal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Cogliano wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs Staal 55.3% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 93.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 93.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 92.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 93.0%
7.0%
93.0%
Cogliano
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cogliano
Staal
Last 5: Cogliano 4-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
1
0
Cogliano
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cogliano
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cogliano
2
0
Cogliano
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
55.9% (14,620)
-14.2%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
62.7% (1,745)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
48.0% (2,896)
-9.2%
On power play, Staal has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cogliano is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,400).
Cogliano shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Staal
Home
43.4% (1,069)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Cogliano
Staal
P1
41.2%
55.2%
P2
37.7%
55.9%
P3
43.6%
54.9%
OT
41.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
38.9%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |