Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +25.0% FO% edge overall. Cogliano wins 30.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 39.5% vs Staal 57.6% (-25.0%)
Offensive zone
Staal 67.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 62.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Cogliano
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
35.8% (53)
58.9% (1,096)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (110)
51.8% (222)
-20.0%
On even strength, Staal has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cogliano is 30.6% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Cogliano shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Staal
Home
40.9% (88)
57.0% (646)
Away
24.0% (75)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Cogliano
Staal
P1
38.2%
55.9%
P2
28.6%
55.4%
P3
34.2%
62.0%
OT
28.6%
70.4%
Final 5 min
40.6%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
33.1%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.1%