Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 47.9% vs Duchene 52.8% (-16.0%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 75.8%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 56.4%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 58.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Cogliano
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (16)
46.9% (162)
-9.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
73.2% (56)
+26.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
100.0% (2)
-75.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cogliano is 62.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Cogliano shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Duchene
Home
50.0% (10)
58.4% (125)
Away
27.3% (11)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Cogliano
Duchene
P1
50.0%
56.9%
P2
36.4%
52.5%
P3
0.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
42.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
38.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%