Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 47.9% vs Hartman 45.3% (-6.7%)
Offensive zone
Hartman 55.2%
Defensive zone
Hartman 69.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.4%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Cogliano
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (16)
44.8% (936)
-7.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
49.4% (154)
+50.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
33.3% (54)
-8.3%
On power play, Cogliano has a +50.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Cogliano is 23.1% vs right-shot opponents (13).
Cogliano shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Hartman
Home
50.0% (10)
47.4% (568)
Away
27.3% (11)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Cogliano
Hartman
P1
50.0%
47.2%
P2
36.4%
43.4%
P3
0.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
42.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
38.1%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%